frontier

With a growing number of ETFs providing access to frontier markets, it’s important to take a step back, understand the category and assess whether these equities are right for your portfolio.

Frontier markets, sometimes referred to as “pre-emerging markets”, are countries with equity markets that are less established – places like Argentina, Kuwait and Bangladesh.   They tend to be characterized by lower market capitalization, less liquidity and, in some cases, earlier stages of economic development.  As you can imagine, they can be particularly hard to access for foreign investors.

Given that frontier markets are smaller and hard to access, what’s the draw for an investor?  There are a few potential portfolio benefits to be aware of:

1)    Widen scope. Frontier markets give investors the opportunity to broaden their global exposure, widen their capitalization spectrum and even gain access to particular areas of growth.  For investors looking to complete their international investment exposure, frontier markets can sometimes literally be “the final frontier” of their portfolio.

FrontierMarketgraph

2)    Diversification. As emerging markets mature and become increasingly coupled with global developed economies, their risk/return characteristics begin to resemble those of their developed market counterparts.  Frontier markets have exhibited a low correlation to emerging and developed markets, making it a diversifier to most portfolios.

FrontierMarketCorrelations

3)    Access to growth. Many frontier market countries have low debt-to-GDP levels and offer high economic growth rates when compared with emerging and developed markets.  In addition, it’s estimated that ~30% of the global population currently resides in frontier markets – consumers of the future as these countries continue to develop.

FrontierGrowth

When considering an investment in frontier markets, it’s important to note that all exposures are not created equal.  The fact that these markets are hard to access can be reflected in the type of securities that some frontier market indexes include.  For example, some of these indexes include few if any truly local frontier market stocks, opting instead for U.S and European listed depository receipts, or even up to 50% or more in emerging markets securities.

What differentiates the MSCI Frontier Markets 100 Index (the benchmark for the recently-launched iShares Frontier Markets ETF – FM), is that the index puts a strong emphasis on tradability in a number of ways, such as requiring a minimum liquidity level for securities.  Because of this, the index includes 100% frontier market equities, rather than relying on emerging market equities to make up for lack of liquidity in frontier markets.

In my next post, I’ll share how we see our clients implementing a frontier markets strategy in their portfolios.

 

 

MSCI :

World Economic Outlook:

Bloomberg :

Diversification may not protect against market risk or loss of principal.
In addition to the normal risks associated with investing, international investments may involve risk of capital loss from unfavorable fluctuation in currency values, from differences in generally accepted accounting principles or from economic or political instability in other nations. Frontier markets involve heightened risks related to the same factors and may be subject to a greater risk of loss than investments in more developed and emerging markets.
The iShares MSCI Frontier 100 Index Fund generally invests at least 80% of its assets in the securities of its benchmark and in depository receipts representing securities of its benchmark.